Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.196950 0.229137 0.264996 0.307923 0.357945 0.414429 0.483106
2025-02-16 0.146286 0.188829 0.241405 0.311242 0.401735 0.515259 0.668872
2025-02-23 0.117680 0.163092 0.223343 0.309306 0.429148 0.590831 0.826462
2025-03-02 0.096262 0.141311 0.204621 0.300352 0.442005 0.644794 0.958841
2025-03-09 0.085326 0.131676 0.200158 0.309087 0.478873 0.734878 1.153021
2025-03-16 0.074977 0.120961 0.191989 0.310184 0.503163 0.807944 1.330067
2025-03-23 0.067640 0.113637 0.187629 0.315941 0.534534 0.894758 1.539506
2025-03-30 0.059392 0.103550 0.177274 0.310056 0.545268 0.948333 1.699483
2025-04-06 0.053017 0.095693 0.169466 0.307130 0.560081 1.009740 1.880151
2025-04-13 0.048191 0.089876 0.164336 0.308021 0.581342 1.084401 2.093905
2025-04-20 0.045814 0.088167 0.166246 0.321853 0.627894 1.210376 2.420648
2025-04-27 0.043310 0.085871 0.166718 0.332863 0.670179 1.333024 2.756788
2025-05-04 0.040568 0.082859 0.165629 0.341017 0.708582 1.454316 3.110307
2025-05-11 0.037535 0.078900 0.162229 0.344121 0.737236 1.559928 3.446864
2025-05-18 0.034340 0.074188 0.156701 0.341987 0.754389 1.643417 3.746625
2025-05-25 0.030820 0.068338 0.148089 0.332069 0.753203 1.687096 3.962758
2025-06-01 0.029329 0.066735 0.148347 0.341744 0.796969 1.835335 4.441406
2025-06-08 0.027313 0.063700 0.145086 0.342959 0.821326 1.942326 4.836538
2025-06-15 0.025862 0.061786 0.144107 0.349336 0.858608 2.083970 5.336566
2025-06-22 0.023681 0.057880 0.138075 0.342817 0.863648 2.148699 5.650984
2025-06-29 0.021920 0.054785 0.133604 0.339577 0.876425 2.234009 6.031075
2025-07-06 0.020568 0.052544 0.130943 0.340564 0.900137 2.349892 6.509592
2025-07-13 0.020102 0.052496 0.133701 0.355884 0.963437 2.576397 7.325070